Monday, March 5, 2012

I'd say .. buy 2010 now. Before it's too late.


Summary
  • Robert Parker gave 100 pts to an unprecedented 19 wines from the 2009 vintage, including Super Seconds like Cos d’Estournel, Montrose and Leoville-Poyferre.
  • The 2009 vintage has earned more 100 pointers than the great vintages of 1982, 1990, 2000 and 2005 combined.
  • According to Parker, 2009 is “unquestionably the greatest Bordeaux vintage I have ever tasted.” He added that it is “the greatest vintage I have tasted in Bordeaux since 1982, of which it is a modern-day version, but greatly improved.”
  • Wine market is going through a rebound since January 2012
  • The 2009 prices are already on the move and are becoming increasingly hard to obtain in the market. We predict that the 2010 vintage will go through a similar trend.
  • Our recommendation is to start looking at brands that faired well in the 2009 vintage, rather than just the vintage itself.   

Parker on 2009: “The greatest Bordeaux vintage I have ever tasted”
Robert Parker’s in bottle scores for 2009 Bordeaux are finally released, confirming the vintage as one of the top Bordeaux vintages of the century. According to Parker, the 2009 is unquestionably the greatest Bordeaux vintage I have ever tasted.” An unprecedented 19 wines were given perfect scores Parker of 100, surpassing that of the great 1982, 1990, 2000 and 2005 vintages put together.

The 100-pointers:

Wine
2010 score
Bottled score
Beausejour (Duffau Lagarrosse)
96-98+
100
Bellevue Mondotte
95-100
100
Clinet
97-100
100
Clos Fourtet
95-98
100
Cos d'Estournel
98-100*
100
Ducru Beaucaillou
96-98+
100
Haut Brion
98-100
100
La Mission Haut Brion
98-100
100
La Mondotte
95-98+
100
Latour
98-100
100
Le Pin
95-98
100
Leoville-Poyferre
97-100*
100
L'Evangile
96-100*
100
Montrose
96-100*
100
Pape Clement Blanc
94-97
100
Pavie
96-100
100
Petrus
96-100
100
Pontet-Canet
97-100
100
Smith-Haut-Lafite
96-98+*
100


Other wines that earned top Parker scores:

Wine
2010 score
bottled score
Angelus
96-100
99
Cheval Blanc
98-100
99
Clos l'Eglise
96-100*
98
L'Eglise Clinet
98-100
99+
Haut Bailly
96-98+
98+
Haut Brion Blanc
96-100
98+
Hosanna
98-100*
99
La Mission Haut Brion Blanc
96-100
96
Lafite
98-100
99+
Leoville Las Cases
96-100
98+
Lynch Bages
94-96+
98
Pichon Baron
93-95
98
Palmer
94-96
97
Margaux
98-100
99
Mouton
96-98+
99+
Trotanoy
97-100*
98+


Market Rebound since January 2012
As we had expected, the wine market overall has rebounded since January 2012 when we issued our last report (see Liv-Ex 50 chart below). It seems to be following the same pattern as 2008, making now the best time to enter the market since Jan 2009.

The wine market experienced a major correction of an average of 17% over last year amidst the Eurozone crisis. However as Asia, in particular China and Hong Kong, are snapping up the last of bargain stocks out in the market, we feel that this is just a beginning of an upward trend that is to continue into the year.

Planning Ahead for the 2010 Vintage
With the added boost from the recently re-scored 2009 vintage, the wine market  looks positive. Those who were sitting on the fence when the prices peaked last summer should consider getting re-involved.

With 2009 being increasingly hard to find on the market, our suggestion is for investors to plan ahead and get into the 2010 vintage. After all, Bordeaux 2010 is already known to be an exceptional vintage, just like the 2009s. Given that the 2011 vintage is already reported to be less than stellar, it should come as no surprise to us when 2010 prices will start to move soon as well, and we should take advantage of their current prices which are now selling well below the 2009s. 





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